The 2015 Dietary Guidelines for Americans are due to be published later this year. The Scientific Report of the 2015 Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee (DGAC) released February 23 this year suggested that we may see important changes of direction in certain areas.
Since the publication of the 2010 Dietary Guidelines important scientific data has emerged suggesting that the role of sodium intake, different types of dietary fats, carbohydrates, and added sugars may have to be reevaluated.
In general, dietary guidelines encourage people to focus on eating a healthful diet. Such a diet focuses on foods and beverages that guarantee adequate nutrition, achieve and maintain a healthy weight, promote health, and prevent disease.
Recently, the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics published their commentary on the Scientific Report of the 2015 DGAC. The Academy is the largest association of food and nutrition professionals in the United States.
Interestingly, the Academy suggests a major revision of key issues that are likely to affect our view on the relationship between diet and heart health.
Diet and Heart Health
Initially, the dietary guidelines were born in an era where the mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) was rising at a very rapid rate. At the beginning of the 20th century, acute heart attack (myocardial infarction) was relatively unknown. Fifty years later it was recognized as the most common cause of death in developed countries.
Public authorities were helpless. Here was a disease that brought an end to the lives of many people in their prime. It tragically, without warning, robbed wives of their husbands, husbands of their wives, and children of their parents. Something had to be done.
It soon became apparent that the risk of CHD was correlated with blood levels of cholesterol. Therefore, not surprisingly, blood cholesterol became a target in the fight against CHD.
Ever since the beginning of the 1960s, “eat less fat, in particular, less saturated fat, and cholesterol” has been the message from public health authorities and medical professionals. Food manufacturers have played along by emphasizing low-fat food varieties and highlighting “low-fat” as an important trademark
For the last 30 years, we have seen a dramatic fall in mortality from CHD and age-adjusted incidence has dropped as well. This is due to many factors, one of them likely being the lowering of blood cholesterol in the population.
However, the burden of CHD is still very high, partly due to the aging of the population. Furthermore, we have seen a rapid rise in obesity and related disorders such as type 2 diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, atrial fibrillation and some types of cancer.
The Academy’s Comments
Several issues addressed in the recent Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics’ commentary to the DAGC are of particular interest. These deal with salt intake, red meat, dietary cholesterol, saturated fats and added sugar.
Sodium
The Academy highlights the fact that there is “a distinct and growing lack of scientific consensus on making a single sodium consumption recommendation for all Americans, owing to a growing body of research suggesting that the low sodium levels recommended by the DGAC are actually associated with increased mortality for healthy individuals“.
There are several studies that have suggested that diets restricted in sodium may be beneficial for individuals with high blood pressure. However, the Academy is concerned that the recent DGAC’s scientific report appears to use conclusions from these studies as “a basis for making a general recommendation that all American adults consume less than 2,300 mg/day of sodium.”
The DGAC appears to recognize that it may be difficult to identify those who may benefit from restricting dietary salt and sodium. Therefore, in light of the growing evidence that sodium restriction at the level recommended may cause harm, adopting such a recommendation to the general population appears controversial.
Red Meat
The DGAC recommends that the US population should be encouraged and guided to consume dietary patterns that are rich in vegetables, fruits, whole grains, seafood, legumes, and nuts; moderate in low-fat dairy products and alcohol; lower in red and processed meat; and low in sugar-sweetened foods and beverages and refined grains.
The Academy does not “interpret that recommendation as impugning the healthfulness of red meat or its place in recommended meal patterns…”
The Academy points out that approximately 80 percent of Americans meet the intake recommendation for animal proteins, mainly based on the consumption of meat, poultry and eggs. However, “data from NHANES for the consumption of red meat alone suggests that American adults on average eat almost as much red meat per week (20 oz) as the USDA recommends for meat, poultry, and eggs combined (26 oz)“.
The Academy seems to agree “(a) that red meat consumption exceeds recommendation for most subgroups and (b) that a greater share of recommended protein consumption should be met by seafood, legumes, and nuts.”
Dietary Cholesterol
The Academy “supports the decision by the 2015 DGAC not to carry forward previous recommendations that cholesterol intake be limited to no more than 300 mg/day, as available evidence shows no appreciable relationship between consumption of dietary cholesterol and serum cholesterol.”
The Academy also lauds the DGAC for its willingness to update positions based on new evidence. However, whether such an obvious act is praiseworthy or not is debatable.
The Academy writes; “It has been said that the unit of measurement for scientific progress is scientific error. Every new discovery proves old conclusions wrong, and every incorrect conclusion of the past marks new knowledge that has taken its place. The Committee’s willingness to update positions based on new evidence is laudable.”
Saturated Fat
“In the spirit of the 2015 DGAC’s commendable revision of previous DGAC recommendations to limit dietary cholesterol, the Academy suggests that HHS and USDA support a similar revision deemphasizing saturated fat as a nutrient of concern. While the body of research linking saturated fat intake to the modulation of LDL and other circulating lipoprotein concentrations is significant, this evidence is essentially irrelevant to the question of the relationship between diet and risk for cardiovascular disease.”
The above conclusion suggests a major change of direction in how health authorities view the role of dietary fats in health and disease.
The Academy writes, “We commend the DGAC on a thorough and accurate review of the current best evidence with regard to the body of evidence relating dietary fats to cardiovascular disease outcomes. However, we are concerned that the evidence does not lead to the conclusion that saturated fats should be replaced with polyunsaturated fats for the greatest health benefit.”
The Academy arguments that “carbohydrate intake conveys a greater amount of cardiovascular disease risk than does saturated fat”.
It is concluded “that the substitution of polyunsaturated fat for carbohydrate will result in a lesser net risk for cardiovascular disease than if polyunsaturated fat were substituted for saturated fat. This is true because carbohydrate contributes a greater amount to the risk for cardiovascular disease than saturated fat, so the replacement of carbohydrate will necessarily result in a greater improvement in risk”.
“Therefore, it appears that the evidence summarized by the DGAC suggests that the most effective recommendation for the reduction in cardiovascular disease would be a reduction in carbohydrate intake with replacement by polyunsaturated fat.”
Furthermore:
This simplified recommendation would also aid in creating a consistent overall message of the DGA, allowing for consumer messaging to focus on benefits of decreasing added sugars in the diet to reduce cardiovascular disease, obesity, and type 2 diabetes, consistent with the conclusion statements in the added sugars section of the Scientific Report.
Added Sugar
The Academy’s view on added sugar is very clear;
Of all the crosscutting topics reviewed, the evidence is strongest that a reduction in the intake of added sugars will improve the health of the American public. The identification and recognition of the specific health risks posed by added sugars represents an important step forward for public health. We recommend that these risks and recommendations be featured prominently in the 2015 Dietary Guidelines for Americans.
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“Therefore, it appears that the evidence summarized by the DGAC suggests that the most effective recommendation for the reduction in cardiovascular disease would be a reduction in carbohydrate intake with replacement by polyunsaturated fat.”
The Academy is so close to getting it right! But they’re still ignoring linoleic acid research. https://www.bmj.com/content/349/bmj.g7255/rapid-responses
Quite likely, the reason linoleic acid is considered heart protective is because of a 2014 Meta-Analysis. From the Abstract: “Comparing the highest to the lowest category dietary LA was associated with a 15% lower risk of CHD events and a 21% lower risk of CHD deaths. A 5% of energy increment in LA intake replacing energy from saturated fat intake was associated with a 9% lower risk of CHD events and a 13% lower risk of CHD deaths.” Conclusions—In prospective observational studies, dietary LA intake is inversely associated with CHD risk in a dose-response manner. These data provide support for current recommendations to replace saturated fat with polyunsaturated fat for primary prevention of CHD.” https://circ.ahajournals.org/content/early/2014/08/26/CIRCULATIONAHA.114.010236.full.pdf
On the other hand there’s this: “Sensitivity analyses did not reveal a significant risk reduction for any outcome parameter when polyunsaturated fat was increased in exchange for saturated fat. Conclusions: The present systematic review provides no evidence (moderate quality evidence) for the beneficial effects of reduced/modified fat diets in the secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. Recommending higher intakes of polyunsaturated fatty acids in replacement of saturated fatty acids was not associated with risk reduction. https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/4/4/e004487.full.pdf
To further add to the confusion: “Evaluated semi-parametrically, LA showed graded associations of n-6 PUFA with total mortality. Evaluating both n-6 and n-3 PUFA, lowest risk was evident with highest levels of both. There was little evidence that associations of n-6 PUFA with total mortality varied with age, sex, race or plasma n-3 PUFA, lowest risk was evident with highest levels of both. Conclusions—High circulating LA, but not other n-6 PUFA, was inversely associated with total and CHD mortality in older adults. https://circ.ahajournals.org/content/early/2014/08/14/CIRCULATIONAHA.114.011590.full.pdf+html
On the home front, I have a diabetic friend named Jim who weighs around 350 pounds. I sat in on a session with his physical trainer who is trying to help him modify his diet so that he can lose weight. It came out during the conversation that Jim routinely ate a sandwich for lunch containing several tablespoons of peanut butter. I suggested he make his sandwiches with anything but peanut butter. He chose roast beef. That was about three week ago. His blood sugar has already dropped considerably. https://www.berkeleydailyplanet.com/issue/2014-10-03/article/42529?headline=Perils-of-Peanuts–David-Brown-Kalispell-MT
Thank you for this report!
And the awesome ship of state, I mean health guidance, begins its slow 180…
You know, nothing is ever as simple as any disease brought about by one cause. Saturated fat as the culprit in CHD was a terrible (I think murderous) recommendation to entire nations. How many deaths and diseases has this brought about?
Every disease is more complex than anyone understands because we don’t fully understand physiology. Humility and objectivity would be nice in scientific research along with actual use of the actual scientific method.
Thanks for the article!
It is concluded “that the substitution of polyunsaturated fat for carbohydrate will result in a lesser net risk for cardiovascular disease than if polyunsaturated fat were substituted for saturated fat. This is true because carbohydrate contributes a greater amount to the risk for cardiovascular disease than saturated fat, so the replacement of carbohydrate will necessarily result in a greater improvement in
risk”.
“Therefore, it appears that the evidence summarized by the DGAC suggests that the most effective recommendation for the reduction in cardiovascular disease would be a reduction in carbohydrate intake with replacement by polyunsaturated fat.”
Good lord, this is the sort of poor reasoning that got us into the current mess. If PUFA is less bad than carbohydrates, it doesn’t mean it’s healthy. That’s like saying filtered cigarattes are healthy because they’re not as bad as unfiltered cigarettes. Our requirement for PUFA is very low, replacing carbs with PUFA when carbs currently 50%+ of our diets is a recipe for disaster. Say you replaced 50% of a 2000 calorie SAD diet with PUFA, that would be over 50 grams of vegetable oils people would add to their diet per day.
But it is nice that these guys are slowly coming around to the idea that actual data never existed to back up the government food recommendations. Baby steps I guess…
Funny you should mention poor reasoning, Bob. 🙂
1) There’s no such thing as “absolute health” in nutrition, it’s always a matter of relations and difference compared to something else, depending on your diet’s role in prevention of major diseases such as CHD, DM2 etc. etc.
2) The cigarette example is just plain ol’ BS because a) no amount of cigarettes is healthier than none at all whereas b) certain amount of PUFA is healthier than none at all.
3) “Say you” … err, stopped making stupid comments concerning replacements. Instead, check e.g. this out
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9006469
Or e.g. this
https://ajcn.nutrition.org/content/89/5/1425.full
4) There’s more than ample amount of data backing up the recommendations. See e.g.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25406801
Mie – just stop. When all you have is simply nipicking analogies you really have no argument or anything relevant to say.
And your studies only are worthwhile if you believe that higher cholesterol is detrimental to health. I do not suffer from that misconception.
And now I’m done with you. I made the mistake of answering you on a prior post and that was a mistake I won’t make again.
Too-da-loo
Nope, the condition you have is called “denialism”.
And yes, yes, YES! Hopefully you will truly be done with me – meaning that you’ll stop spreading nonsense.
When this “2015 Dietary Guidelines
Advisory Committee “ report is published, I would begin at the end
‘Disclosure’ to ascertain if there is a whiff of vested interests
(Agricultural, Pharmaceutical or any other)….otherwise it is of no
use.
Regarding the statement that carbs increase risk more than PUFA lower risk, the Academy cites Jakobsen et al (2009), which I consider a good meta-analysis. However, they report that exchanging PUFA for SFA reduced risk for CHD events by 13 % and CHD deaths by 26 % per 5 % of energy intake, while exchanging carbs for SFA increased risk by 7 %. So it seems that substituting SFA with PUFA makes a bigger difference.
And the Academy seem to ignore other findings that the increased risk is confined to refined/high glycemic carbs. That’s probably why most cohort studies about diet-heart find no significant association between SFA and heart disease; they compare SFA with refined carbs, i.e. two unhealthy components.
I also find it worrying that the Academy seems to suggest that there is substantial evidence that lowering sodium intakes to 2300 mg is dangerous. Sure, they cite some papers, but they have confused availability of evidence with the scientific quality> of evidence. The DGAC at least did a critical appraisal of the literature.
Precisely: the claim that carbs as such create a large risk than SAFA is … well, more like a brain fart than actual scientific criticism. Where’s the discussion of carb quality? SAFA carrier foods?
In addition, the Academy has problems with this part:
“The 2010 Institute of Medicine (IOM) report on the use of biomarkers as surrogates for disease outcomes examined LDL and HDL as case studies and concluded unequivocally that they were not suitable for use as surrogates for the impact of diet on heart disease.38 The IOM concluded that, “lowering LDL-C does not always correlate with improved patient outcomes,”39 and described the evidence from the ILLUMINATE trial (in which a drug therapy that successfully evidenced decreased LDL-C levels and increased HDL-C in fact caused an increase in cardiovascular events and death).40 Due to this and other studies’ demonstration of a disconnect between lipoprotein modulation therapies and the expected improvements in cardiovascular disease outcomes, the IOM concluded that “data supports use of LDL as a surrogate endpoint for some cardiovascular outcomes for statin drug interventions, but not for all cardiovascular outcomes or other cardiovascular interventions, foods, or supplements” and that “current data does not support use [of HDL] as a surrogate endpoint.”41”
(Well, the IOM seems to have the same problem, so …).
1) Torcetrapib’s failure simply doesn’t illustrate what they claim it to do. Its adverse effect on blood pressure is quite well-known.
2) Any other case besides Torcetrapib? Err … Anybody know the term “cherry-picking”?
Explaining this gradual shift is going to be difficult for a lot of practitioners. “It was apparent, clearly correlated, gave us significant reductions in mortality, but, eh not that we were wrong but…..”
My Mie, I’m a afraid you are lost in the weeds. How were our ancestors from over 10,000 years ago able to find a healthy diet without all of those nutritional studies? How did they know to eat the essential fatty acids? In fact, how were they able to eat the correct balance of essential polyunsaturated fatty acids?
I would recommend the work of Dr. Weston A Price as he respected our ancestors’ ability to see healthy food in all of the weeds: https://www.westonaprice.org
Also, Mark Sisson has a similar respect: https://www.marksdailyapple.com
Lastly, if you wish to find out how nutritional science got so far away from our ancestral knowledge, I recommend reading Gary Taube’s “Good Calories, Bad Calories”.
The answer to your first question: they just ate what was available and of some benefit (e.g. cooked meat better than raw meat in many ways) at that time. Don’t confuse “available” with “optimal”. I agree, however, with you on paleo diet being a healthy option to what most of us consume on a daily basis.
As for your recommendations: thanks, but I prefer scientific studies, not popular literature with an agenda. Besides, your list didn’t really offer anything new. I’ve read Taubes and his critics, and e.g. Seth here
https://thescienceofnutrition.wordpress.com/
shows very clearly & thoroughly just what’s wrong with Taubes’ work.
Dr. Sigurdsson
If a patient presented with the following, would you be inclined to recommend statin therapy?
Female, age 55, non-smoker, normal BP, no known cardiac risk factors, normal fasting glucose levels.
Total Cholesterol: 350
Triglycerides (TG): 104
HDL: 100
LDL: 229
Cholesterol/HDL: 3.5
TG/HDL: 1.03
Peak LDL particle size very large, at 231.1 Angstroms, but high total LDL particle number, 1550.
High ApoB, 147.
Very low HS CRP, 0.2 (no indication of inflammation).
Jeffrey
I would probably not recommend statin treatment. The risk of cardiovascular events for such an individual appears quite low and in my opinion too low to risk statin treatment. Therefore, unless there are other factors suggesting higher risk (such as family history of premature coronary heart disease), my answer to your question is no.
Dr. Sigurdsson,
Thank you very much for your prompt reply.
As layperson, after reviewing the available research on risk versus benefits for middle aged women, with no known risk factors (and with a sky high HDL number), I had reached the same conclusion. As you would no doubt expect, the patient’s internist is strongly advocating statin treatment. One of the most surprising things have I read lately is that US doctors are being evaluated by insurance companies partly based on their patients’ average LDL cholesterol numbers, which provides an obvious incentive for doctors to get their patients’ LDL numbers down.
Incidentally, small LDL was 149, medium LDL was 229, which presumably put large LDL at 1,272.
Something that I somewhat confused about is particle count versus Type A/Type B particle type. As predicted by the very low TG/HDL Ratio (1.03), the particle type analysis showed a very strong Type A LDL pattern, but then we have the high particle count. From what I have read, cardiologists seem to be more focused on total particle count, rather than particle type, but I wonder if this is partly based on the tendency for high particle counts to generally correlate with high numbers of small Type B particles. In other words, wouldn’t this be something of an anomalous case where the patient has a high particle count, but one that is overwhelmingly large Type A particles?